Philip E. Tetlock

Philip E. Tetlock's books

Superforecasting: The Art and Science of Prediction

4.08 avg rating — 21,609 ratings

Expert Political Judgment: How Good Is It? How Can We Know?

3.98 avg rating — 687 ratings

HBR's 10 Must Reads on Managing Risk (with bonus article "Managing 21st-Century Political Risk" by Condoleezza Rice and Amy Zegart)

3.55 avg rating — 80 ratings

Unmaking the West: "What-If?" Scenarios That Rewrite World History

3.60 avg rating — 43 ratings

Counterfactual Thought Experiments in World Politics: Logical, Methodological, and Psychological Perspectives

3.73 avg rating — 15 ratings

Behavior, Society, and Nuclear War

3.90 avg rating — 10 ratings

Comment être visionnaire

4.50 avg rating — 4 ratings

Behavior, Society, and International Conflict

4.50 avg rating — 2 ratings

Experts all the way down.(Wrong: Why Experts Keep Failing Us And How to Know When Not to Trust Them, Being Wrong: Adventures in the Margin of Error ... An article from: The National Interest

0.00 avg rating — 0 ratings

Unmaking the West: "What-If?" Scenarios That Rewrite World History

0.00 avg rating — 0 ratings